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August 2022
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The next convergence

Nobelist Michael Spence discusses with Charlie Rose on the next convergence, where China and India and other emerging economies potentially catch up with the industrialized world.

The convergence is in reference to the Great Divergence that sent Great Britain, France and other Western European countries into the leading world economies.

This transition, most likely, will not be smooth. I am writing a paper on what could stall fast developing economies, like China, into a middle-income trap, where income growth becomes stagnant and gets stuck in around $12-15K range.