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Monthly Archives: March 2008

Buffett’s common-sense recession call

Warren Buffett said in an exclusive CNBC interview that "by any common sense, we are already in a recession". Watch it below.
 
 

Free Falling, No Easy Way Out?

El-Arian of PIMCO thinks to prevent a housing price collapse, either overnment must intervene or the mortgage contracts have to be altered. “There is no better alternative”, he said in a CNBC interview (watch below). Boy, that’s frightening! But I was more frightened by how a capitalist at such high level ditches market-based solutions so easily.

The next shoe to drop: commercial real estate

According to Wall Street Journal, Goldman analyst expects 1st quarter write-downs of investment banks in their exposure to commercial real estate would reach $7.2 billion. They hold a total of $141 billion at the end of last year. The write-downs will be much bigger if incoming data confirms a deep recession.
 
[Chart]
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
spread is rising sharply…
 

Crude Tops Inflation-Adjusted All-time High

Crude-oil futures surged above their inflation-adjusted high Monday, climbing $2.08 to $103.92 a barrel in New York Mercantile Exchange trading, amid a weakening dollar and indications that OPEC is leaning against an increase in output. The previous high of $103.76, in January dollars, was set in April 1980.

How a Bubble Stayed Under the Radar

Bob Shiller on NY Times asks the question: why even most experts didn’t recognize the bubble as it was forming.


courtesy of NY Times