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January 2012
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Another strong reading on weekly jobless claims

On Thursday, the 4-week moving average of weekly jobless claims reached the lowest level since April 2008. The US labor market continues to show sign of thawing.

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If this trend continues, consumer confidence is likely to bounce back. Then the US will be on the track of a virtuous cycle: business investment will follow, so will bank lending.  We need to wait for more data in coming weeks to confirm such trend.


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